Environmental Risk Intelligence
Decision Ready Analysis for Risk Reduction under Environmental Uncertainty
Two Bears Environmental Consulting, LLC (TBEC) provides environmental risk and vulnerability assessments in regions where standard national datasets and models underperform due to extreme seasonality, sparse data, rapid environmental change, and non-stationary weather extremes. We address these gaps by combining locally informed modeling, uncertainty analysis, and scenario-based assessments with regional and site-specific data and earth system models to evaluate biophysical risks such as erosion, flooding, drought, wildfire, permafrost loss, extreme weather events. Our work translates complex environmental hazards into clear, decision-ready, defensible risk information that supports planning, operational continuity, engineering, regulatory compliance, and long-term decisions for capital investments across a range of sectors.
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If you are responsible for decision risk reduction under environmental uncertainty, we can help.
Changing Environments and Extreme Events are a Threat Multiplier
Tomorrow is not the Same as Yesterday
Environmental conditions, such as in Alaska and other high-latitude regions, are changing faster than the assumptions embedded in many national-scale datasets and tools. Extreme seasonality, limited observations, and rapidly shifting baselines can obscure risk, underestimate exposure, and complicate long-term planning.
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Decisions based on incomplete or misaligned data increase uncertainty—and cost—over time.
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Increased Infrastructure risks
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Changes in magnitude and timing of extreme events
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Compound and Cascading Risk Impacts, such as flooding combined with sea-level rise or drought combined with wildfire
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Instability of supply chain and ecosystem services
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Increased Likelihood and Consequences of Weather-Related Disruptions
Who We Support
Our analyses support infrastructure and capital planning, engineering design and alternatives analysis, regulatory and compliance documentation, and asset prioritization under uncertainty. Clients also use our work to inform long-term resilience and risk reduction strategies to reduce liabilities as environmental conditions continue to change.
How We Do It
We combine regional and site-specific data with future projections to evaluate environmental risk across multiple scenarios, using transparent, reproducible, and defensible methods tailored to local conditions. Our hazard vulnerability assessments assess how changing conditions may affect infrastructure assets, ecosystem services, economic sustainability, human dimensions, and security.
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We analyze risks from future conditions, including extreme weather events, erosion, disease vectors, and agricultural impacts, to ensure that most potential hazards are considered, providing holistic risk assessments across multiple sectors.
Our Solutions & Core Services
Client Uses
TBEC has had successes with a range of projects across multiple sectors.
Our services are used by clients to:
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Support scenario planning for capital projects, including staged adaptation approaches
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Develop real-time threshold analysis for decreasing operational risks, and improving national defense readiness
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Feasibility Studies for energy development (e.g., geothermal, wind, solar and tidal) and the construction and power needs of data centers
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Evaluate risks of permafrost thaw on oil and gas infrastructure integrity
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Assess ecosystem needs (e.g., water availability) for extractives, such as mining and oil & gas development
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Protect critical and revenue-generating assets, including infrastructure, utilities, and culturally important resources
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Assess erosion, flooding, and other environmental risks using spatial risk maps and scenario analysis
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Inform business planning and investment protection under current and future conditions
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Prioritize assets and projects under uncertainty, assisting with allocating limited resources effectively
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Support regulatory and compliance requirements with defensible, transparent analysis
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Evaluate risks to utilities, energy systems, and transportation networks that affect the supply chain
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Reduce uncertainty in high-stakes decision-making, from near-term actions to long-term strategies
Key Collaborators
